Status of the Electoral College

The new Survey USA poll this morning showing Obama up 8 has now switched Missouri over to lean Obama.  that now gives Obama a lead of 369 to 169 when including leaners.

This is easily the biggest lead Obama has had with leaners all year.  Indiana now becomes the only non-controversial battleground state that still leans McCain.  West Virginia is currently lean Obama, though that is depending on a weird ARG poll while North Dakota has dropped to lean McCain based on a North Dakota poll from a pollster I’ve never heard of.

Meanwhile, we may be soon see another wave of states moving to the Weak Obama category like we saw a couple weeks ago as Virginia and Colorado inch increasingly closer to the 5% mark.

The slippage by McCain in the state polls is continued today by a Research 2000 poll showing McCain only ahead in Missouri 49-45.  This was finally enough to tip Missouri back into the Too Close To Call category from Weak McCain.

The official electoral college count now sits at Obama 202, McCain 173, Too Close To Call 163 as we still have an extroardinarily high number of close state remianing, after states appeared to be slipping to one side or another a couple weeks ago.